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Measured drawings and a cost plan spread across a table

Insights on development management

Why a build cost per square foot misleads investors

An average rate describes a population of buildings. It does not describe the one you are about to build.

Every investor has a rate in their head. It came from a scheme that completed, from a published index, from a builder in conversation or from another developer at an event. It is useful for one thing only: deciding whether a site is worth looking at for another hour. The moment it becomes the build cost in an appraisal, it stops being a shortcut and becomes a risk, which is why feasibility and cost planning starts by taking it out.

The problem is not that rates are wrong. It is that a rate is an average of outcomes from buildings that differ from each other in exactly the ways that drive cost, and the averaging hides every one of those differences.

What the rate has already averaged away

A rate per square foot is a single number carrying a long list of assumptions. Shape and the ratio of external wall to floor area. Storey height and the number of storeys. Whether there is a basement, a lift, a sprinkler system, a plant room. The structural frame. The specification of the facade. The services strategy, and whether it includes mechanical ventilation, heat pumps or cooling. Whether the site is clear and flat with a lorry route, or sloping, contaminated and reached through a terrace.

Two schemes with the same floor area can differ by a wide margin on any one of those, and the differences do not cancel out. They compound: a tall narrow building has more facade per square foot and more preliminaries per square foot and a longer programme.

The rate also carries whatever was happening in the market when those projects were priced. Tender prices move, and they do not move uniformly across trades. A rate from eighteen months ago is a rate for a market that no longer exists.

Small schemes are the worst fit

Averages work best on large, repetitive buildings. They work worst on exactly the schemes most investors start with: a handful of units, a conversion, an infill plot, a site with awkward access.

The reason is that a large part of the cost on a small scheme is not proportional to the floor area. Site set-up, welfare, scaffolding, the crane or hoist, management and supervision, temporary services, insurances and the contractor’s overhead are largely fixed by the duration and the logistics, not by the square footage. Spread over a small floor area, they push the cost per square foot well above any published average, and no amount of design efficiency removes them.

Refurbishment and conversion add a second problem: the existing building. What you find when you open it up is not an average. Measuring the building you actually have is a specific exercise, covered in measuring existing buildings.

What an elemental cost plan does differently

An elemental cost plan prices your scheme element by element: substructure, frame, upper floors, roof, external walls, windows and doors, internal walls, finishes, fittings, services, external works, preliminaries and the contractor’s overhead and profit. Each element is quantified from whatever design exists and priced on evidence.

That structure does three things a rate cannot. It shows where the money is, so value engineering has somewhere to aim. It shows what has been assumed, so the assumptions can be challenged individually rather than as a single figure. And it gives you a document a contractor can price against and a lender can test.

It also makes the exclusions visible. A cost plan states what is not in it, which is how you discover that the figure excludes the substation, the service diversion or the obligation the planning consent attached. A rate per square foot excludes the same things silently.

The cost plan then has a second life. When the scheme goes out to tender, it is the document the bids are compared against, element by element, which is how you see whether a low bid is efficient or simply missing something. Without it, tender comparison becomes a comparison of totals, and totals are the one thing that tells you least. That is why the cost plan feeds directly into procurement and contractor selection rather than being filed once the land is bought.

How to use a rate honestly

There is a legitimate use for a rate: triage. If a site needs a build cost dramatically below anything plausible before the appraisal works, that is a useful answer in five minutes and you can stop. Used that way, the rate is a filter rather than a budget.

The discipline is to state it as what it is. As an example only, writing in the appraisal that the build cost is a rate per square foot taken from a comparable scheme of a different type, excluding abnormals, fees, finance and obligations, and subject to a cost plan, is honest. Writing it in as the construction cost is not.

Benchmarks have a second honest use: testing a cost plan once it exists. If an elemental plan sits far away from comparable schemes, that is worth understanding, and the explanation is usually a real feature of the scheme rather than an error. The method for that comparison is set out in benchmarking without copying.

What investors should ask for instead

Three questions get you most of the way. What quantity is this figure based on, and measured from what drawing. What is excluded. What would have to be true for this figure to be wrong by ten per cent.

An answer that describes measured quantities, a stated set of exclusions and a short list of identified risks is a cost plan. An answer that restates the rate is a rate. The difference matters most at the moment you commit to the land price, because that is the one decision the appraisal cannot be revised after.

From there the cost plan becomes the control document for the rest of the scheme: the basis for the tender, the comparison for the bids, and the baseline the monthly reports measure against. That continuity is the point of running development management from one set of numbers, and the measurement behind it is quantities and take-off.

Working from a rate per square foot?

We turn it into an elemental cost plan for your scheme, with the exclusions and the risks stated.

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